How betting odds work: what they are and how to use them
In gambling, the odds on display do not represent the true chances (as imagined by the bookmaker) that the event will or will not occur, but are the amount that the bookmaker will pay out on a winning bet, together with the required stake. In most cases, the favorite will have negative moneyline odds (less payoff for a safer bet) and the underdog will have positive moneyline odds (more payoff for a risky bet). A “moneyline” wager refers to odds on the straight-up outcome of a game with no consideration to a point spread. For example, 6/5 fractional odds (also described as “1.2” or “6 to 5”) are the same as 11/5 decimal odds (also described as 2.2 or “11 for 5).
“Vegas odds” traditionally referred to the betting lines set by Las Vegas sportsbooks, which were once the hub of sports betting in the U.S. When sharp bettors place heavy wagers, sportsbooks take this as a signal that these bettors have valuable information or insights. For example, if the majority of bettors back a popular team, the sportsbook may adjust the line to make the less popular team more attractive. This format keeps games thrilling until the final whistle, adding intensity even to potential blowouts. Bets in sports betting come in various forms, generally focused on picking winners, predicting score margins, or anticipating total points. Navigating betting odds can be difficult for newer players – especially when you consider that there are multiple odds formats used throughout the wagering world.
Because of the many factors involved, it is impossible to calculate exact probability in sports betting. In betting terms, probability is odds expressed as a percentage. Moneyline odds use $100 as the evens line, with either positive or negative outcomes. If you’d like a bit more guidance, we have a full guide on how fractional odds work in betting. You may also see odds expressed with the lowest number first e.g. 1/2 or 2/7. Once you understand betting odds and the differences between them, reading them becomes easy.
A variation of fractional odds is known as Hong Kong odds. However, not all fractional odds are traditionally read using the lowest common denominator (i.e. simplifying the fraction when possible). In either case, having won, the bettor always receives the original stake back too; so if the odds are 4/1 the bettor receives a total of £500 (£400 plus the original £100). Favoured by bookmakers in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and also common in horse racing, fractional odds quote the net profit that will be paid out to the bettor, should they win, relative to the stake. That value may be regarded as the relative probability the event will happen, expressed as a fraction (if it is less than 1), or a multiple (if it is equal to or greater than one) of the likelihood that the event will not happen.
For instance, if the line is 220.5 in an NBA game, you’d bet on whether the teams’ combined score will be over 220 or under 220.5. Totals bets, also known as Over/Under bets, focus on the combined score of both teams rather than who wins. Point spread bets are all about leveling the playing field between teams, making any game more exciting. We’ve followed social sportsbooks and sweepstakes casinos since they first started launching, and remain ahead of the game with rating the best prediction market apps. From Missouri sports betting to emerging markets, we provide actionable intel on where and how you can bet securely and legally. Making a profit in gambling involves predicting the relationship of the true probabilities to the payout odds.
The same price is 3/1 in fractional odds and +300 in American odds, which means a 100 bet wins 300 on top of the stake. This is a difficult task considering the huge teams of mathematicians that they employ. Moneyline, or American, odds are favoured by US bookmakers and punters, and are often expressed as positive and negative values (e.g. +250, -400). Bet £10+ on any sportsbook markets at odds of evens (2.00) or greater. “Double the odds” applies to fractional odds profits only, with extra winnings paid in cash on settlement. Get your initial stake back (up to £30) credited in set football markets.
Odds change constantly between the moment a market opens and kick-off, and OddsPortal works as an odds tracker for every match. The same selection is priced differently by each bookmaker, so comparing bookmaker odds is the simplest way to make sure a winning bet pays out as much as possible.
It was about 3.7% less for wins by the visitors, and 5.7% less for draws. A study on soccer betting found that the probability for the home team to win was generally about 3.4% less than the value calculated from the odds (for example, 46.6% for even odds). The total of these three percentages is 100%, thus representing a fair ‘book’. In a 3-horse race, for example, the true probabilities of each of the horses winning based on their relative abilities may be 50%, 40% and 10%. In formulating the odds to display the bookmaker will have included a profit margin which effectively best sports betting sites not on gamstop means that the payout to a successful bettor is less than that represented by the true chance of the event occurring.